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人民幣貶值能拯救中國(guó)出口?專家擔(dān)心各國(guó)爭(zhēng)相貶值打響貨幣戰(zhàn)

RMB Devaluation Can Save China Exports? Experts Fear Currency Devaluation of Countries & Currency War

放大字體??縮小字體 ??瀏覽次數(shù):1197
核心提示:人民幣貶值能拯救中國(guó)出口?專家擔(dān)心各國(guó)爭(zhēng)相貶值打響貨幣戰(zhàn)

首先對(duì)于出口企業(yè)來(lái)說(shuō),由于許多訂單都是以美元計(jì)價(jià),因此自人民幣匯改以來(lái),人民幣升值逐漸侵蝕著企業(yè)的利潤(rùn)水平。如果人民幣兌美元進(jìn)行貶值通道之后,這將會(huì)對(duì)企業(yè)的業(yè)績(jī)產(chǎn)生積極的作用。同時(shí)人民幣兌美元匯率走低,也會(huì)大大增加企業(yè)自身的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)實(shí)力。

對(duì)于進(jìn)口企業(yè)來(lái)說(shuō),人民幣貶值很明顯在一定程度上提高了相應(yīng)的進(jìn)口成本。為了減少相應(yīng)的損失,建議進(jìn)口企業(yè)可以做一些相應(yīng)的衍生產(chǎn)品加以規(guī)避匯率波動(dòng)。

海關(guān)總署8月8日公布的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,今年前7個(gè)月,中國(guó)進(jìn)出口總值13.63萬(wàn)億元人民幣,比去年同期下降7.3%。其中,出口7.75萬(wàn)億元,微降0.9%;進(jìn)口5.88萬(wàn)億元,下降14.6%;貿(mào)易順差1.87萬(wàn)億元,擴(kuò)大1倍。

當(dāng)時(shí)就有學(xué)者認(rèn)為,過(guò)去的幾個(gè)季度,因?yàn)槿嗣駧艑?duì)美元匯率保持穩(wěn)定,而美元持續(xù)強(qiáng)勢(shì),其他外貿(mào)大國(guó)貨幣普遍貶值,這在一定程度上拖累了中國(guó)的出口表現(xiàn)。

除人民幣,土耳其里拉也出現(xiàn)了貶值狀況,近日,國(guó)內(nèi)一鍋爐廠負(fù)責(zé)人稱,原本正在商談的鍋爐出口事宜因里拉兌歐元貶值近20%慘淡收?qǐng)?,土耳其方面采?gòu)商決定采購(gòu)本國(guó)生產(chǎn)的產(chǎn)品,因中國(guó)產(chǎn)品不再具有價(jià)格優(yōu)勢(shì)。(中國(guó)進(jìn)出口網(wǎng)

First of all for export enterprises, many orders are priced in dollars, so since the foreign exchange reform, the RMB appreciation has been gradually eroding the level of corporate profits. If yuan against the US dollar is down, it will have a positive effect on corporate performance. At the same time, it will greatly increase their own competitiveness.

For import businesses, devaluation, obviously, to some extent, improves the corresponding import costs. In order to reduce the corresponding losses, we recommend importing companies to do some corresponding derivative products to avoid exchange rate fluctuations.

General Administration Customs released, on August 8th, for the first seven months, China's import and export value reached 13.63 trillion yuan, down 7.3% over last year. Among them, exports 7.75 trillion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.9%; imports 5.88 trillion yuan, down 14.6%; trade surplus 1.87 trillion yuan, expanding 1 times.

At that time some scholars believed that in the past few quarters, the yuan against the US dollar remained stable, while the dollar continued strength, other large foreign country currency generally depreciated, China's export performance was dragged down to some extent.

In addition to the RMB, the Turkish lira also depreciated, recently, a domestic boiler plant director said, they were negotiating with a Turkish buyer about the boiler exports to Turkey, but due to lira against euro down by nearly 20%, the Turkish buyer decided to buy their own country’s boiler, and Chinese products have price advantage no longer.
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